12: Basic Economics

CHAPTER 12
Basic Economics

If you teach a parrot to say “Supply and Demand,” you can get him a PhD in economics.

Thomas Carlyle

Economics deals with human wants, needs, behaviors, and responses. As such, economists can never “prove” anything. That is, there are always confounding factors in real‐life economics that make all economic ideas “theories” that must be applied in individual circumstances.

Dental services respond to the laws of economics like any other good or service. Therefore, practitioners need to understand the basic notions of supply‐and‐demand economics to respond to changing economic conditions. The study of economics is usually broken into two general areas: macroeconomics and microeconomics. The difference between the two is a difference in scope. Macroeconomics looks at the whole economy and the forces that affect it. Suppose forces that affect the entire dental industry, such as national economic policies, changing demographic patterns, bank interest rates, inflation, and labor supply issues, are examined. In that case, this is a macro view of economic conditions. Microeconomics looks at the individual business, person, or practice and how they respond to changing conditions. It examines how prices are determined and how many goods and services each individual produces and consumes. Each of these areas has significant implications for how someone practices dentistry.

LAWS OF SUPPLY AND DEMAND

The primary issue of economics is choice‐making. Both a society as a whole and individuals within that society decide what to produce and consume. How people use their limited resources determines the supply and demand for goods and services within a market economy. This free choice leads to the US capitalistic, market‐driven economy. Other systems (communism and, to a degree, socialism) plan the economy and determine how much of each good and service is provided and at what price.

DEMAND

To the economist, demand means the quantity of a good or service that individuals can buy at every possible price. Demand then defines a relationship between the price of a commodity and the number of units the buyer is willing to purchase. It implies that consumers both want the product and can pay for it. The resulting law of demand states that “as the price of any good decreases, the quantity of that good that consumers are willing and able to purchase will increase. As price increases, consumers will demand a smaller quantity of the good.” This is an inverse relationship: the other gets smaller as one factor increases. Evidence of this law can be seen by looking at everyday buying habits. Clothing stores lower the price at the end of the season to clear their racks of goods. Unscrupulous contractors and building suppliers increase prices after a natural disaster when demand is high. Automobile dealers stimulate demand through rebates and other discount offers.

Demand has the important characteristic of elasticity. Very elastic demand means that the quantity demanded (and bought) is sensitive to price. Here, the demand curve is much flatter. For example, as the price of coffee rises, consumers buy less and less coffee and instead buy substitutes, such as tea and colas. Inelastic demand means that the quantity demanded is insensitive to the price of the good or service. For example, people with diabetes will buy the same amount of insulin despite the price, their demand for the good is inelastic, and the curve is steeper.

A demand curve is a graphical representation of the relationship between price and quantity demanded. A demand curve can be drawn for any good or service in the market, and the curve always slopes down and to the right. Although many actual demand curves have been determined for various products, they are more helpful in understanding economics concepts. Figure 12.1 shows a typical, hypothetical demand curve, in this case for crowns. As the price of crowns increases, fewer people are willing and able to afford this service; the quantity demanded then decreases. Any individual buyer will reach a point where they refuse to buy any additional units because they have fulfilled their needs or because their opportunity costs are too high. Their demand is essentially satiated. However, as the price decreases, more buyers come into the market and are willing to purchase the good, although other consumers may have dropped out of the market.

An individual consumer’s demand for services will vary depending on income level, future expectations, and personal wants and desires. Demand curves are generally determined for the entire market, and market demand is equal to the sum of all individual demands. This realizes that some consumers will never buy the product (e.g. gold crowns) at any price, others may buy many products at an unlimited price, and most fall on a continuum between the two extremes.

Schematic illustration of a demand curve.

FIGURE 12.1 A demand curve.

SUPPLY

To this point, only one side of the economic exchange, the buyer, has been examined. The behavior of the seller or producer (the “supplier”) is equally essential to the transaction.

To the economist, supply means the quantity of a good or service the supplier can sell at every possible price. Suppliers are usually thought of as those who own factories, shoe stores, or dental offices. These are the suppliers in the product market for final goods and services. However, there is a similar market for resources to produce the goods. Producers must compete in the open market for wheat for bread, steel for cars, and an hour of the hygienist’s time.

Supply then defines a relationship between the price of a commodity and the number of units the seller is willing to supply. The resulting law of supply states that “as the price of any good increases, the quantity of that good that suppliers are willing and able to offer for sale will increase. Suppliers will supply a larger quantity of the goods as price increases.” This is a direct relationship: as one factor gets larger, so does the other. Supply displays the characteristic of elasticity similar to demand. Elastic supply means that a change in the price of the good leads to a large change in the quantity supplied.

A supply curve is a graphical representation of the relationship between price and quantity supplied. A supply curve can be drawn for any good or service in the market, and the curve always slopes upward and to the right. Figure 12.2 shows a typical, hypothetical supply curve, in this case also for gold crowns. As the price of gold crowns increases, dentists are willing to work harder and produce more products; the quantity supplied then increases. Any individual seller will reach a point where they refuse to produce any additional units because they have fulfilled their needs or because their opportunity costs are too high. Their supply is essentially satiated.

Schematic illustration of a supply curve.

FIGURE 12.2 A supply curve.

An individual producer’s supply of services will vary depending on factors such as the cost of production, degree of profitability, future expectations, and personal wants and desires. Supply curves are also determined for the entire market. A market supply is equal to the average of all the individual supplies. The obtainable profits mainly determine the market supply. If supplying the good or service is lucrative compared with other forms of income generation, then more people will attempt to become suppliers. The size of the market, social climate, and barriers to entry limit the number of successful suppliers. Dentistry, for example, has steep barriers to entry in that there are academic dental school entrance requirements, a limited number of dental school places, licensure requirements, and high start‐up costs. These barriers keep the supply curve for dentistry stable.

There is mixed support for the idea that having more health service providers lowers public costs. The opposite may be the case. It is well established that the number of surgeons in an area determines how much surgery is done there. Dentistry may follow a similar pattern. Rather than competition stimulating price reductions, it may increase prices in an area. One explanation for this apparent paradox is that practitioners may need to generate a certain amount of money to meet expenses and have a targeted income for themselves. According to this “target income hypothesis,” fees in an area will increase until practitioners meet those needs.

MARKET EQUILIBRIUM IN DEMAND AND SUPPLY

A “market” occurs when suppliers and demanders (consumers) exchange value (money). In a dynamic market, changes are expected to take place in both supply and demand for services as the underlying conditions change. When the forces of supply interact with the forces of demand, a market price is established, an equilibrium point where the supply and demand for those same goods are equal. Graphically, this occurs where the upwardsloping supply curve and the downward‐sloping demand curve intersect (Figure 12.3). The equilibrium point for the quantity demanded is shown at point A on the graph; the equilibrium point for the price is shown at point B.

A market is never in exact equilibrium. Instead, there is fluctuation as producers and consumers adjust to changing conditions. A market shortage is a condition in which the demand for a good or service is greater than the supply of that good or service. The price then rises as consumers bid up the price. More dollars then chase fewer goods until suppliers produce more goods or services or more suppliers enter the market (increasing production) to take advantage of excess profits. A market surplus is a condition in which the supply of a good or service is greater than the demand for that good or service. Prices drop as suppliers accept less to sell products. Profits for producers decrease as the price falls. Eventually, inefficient producers are forced from the market as profit margins decrease.

Schematic illustration of market equilibrium.

FIGURE 12.3 Market equilibrium.

If a good is freely traded, shortages and surpluses do not last. The forces of market competition cause a readjustment of prices, and that establishes a new equilibrium. Those willing to pay more will get what they want, pushing up prices and eliminating the shortage. Those willing to sell for less will gather sales, driving down prices and eliminating surpluses.

Resource markets behave similarly to final goods and services. Businesses become the demanders, and households (and the people who make them up) are the suppliers. Dentists compete not only with each other for staff services but also with alternative forms of employment. A shortage will occur if dentists, as a group, do not pay a wage comparable to similar forms of employment, given similar backgrounds, training requirements, and working conditions. This drives the price of staff members up. Suppose an individual dentist wants to hire a hygienist at less than the market rate for hygienists. In that case, they probably cannot hire one unless other non‐wage factors (e.g. benefits, time off, convenience) balance the hygienist’s opportunity cost of a lower wage.

MICROECONOMICS: THE INDIVIDUAL BUYER AND SELLER

Microeconomics examines the individual firm (or practice) and individual consumers who purchase goods and services from those firms. It attempts to answer why people buy, at what price they will buy, and what producers can do to influence their buying decisions. Several microeconomic theories and their effects on dental practices are described.

PUBLIC AND PRIVATE GOODS

Any time economists speak of economic “goods,” they are referring to anything that is both desirable and limited and to obtain which people will give up something else. Goods may be physical items for sale (e.g. cars, televisions, or shampoo) or services that consumers buy and use immediately (e.g. haircuts, dance lessons, or massages). Dentistry sells physical products such as dentures, partials, and restorations and less tangible service “goods” such as prophylaxes, endodontics, whitening procedures, or extractions. Some people even view intangible items such as leisure time and health as goods because people are willing to sacrifice to “buy” these commodities.

Economists often speak of public or private consumption goods. Private consumption goods are purchased and consumed by individuals rather than the whole society. (A whole group may individually purchase and consume the good, but that is not done as an act of the whole, rather as acts of individuals.) When individuals purchase DVD players, vacations, automobiles, and food, they consume those goods privately. If someone cannot pay the price required, they are excluded from having the use and benefit of the good. Public consumption goods benefit the whole of society or at least many people. National defense, the road system, and police and fire protection are examples of public goods enjoyed equally by most people. Society cannot legitimately exclude those who cannot pay from enjoying the use and benefit of these goods.

Because private suppliers cannot exclude non‐payers from enjoying public consumption goods, they generally will not provide these goods on a for‐profit basis. Instead, the government provides public consumption goods. (Government may contract with private suppliers to provide the good or service, but the government is still ultimately responsible.) There is a significant ongoing debate in the United States over what a public good is and what level of those services the government should provide. People believe that healthcare, medical care, and dental care “fit” as private or public goods. Depending on the answer, a different set of financing, access, delivery, and pricing policies will result.

Presently, US society considers dentistry a private consumption good. People will purchase as much of the service as they want and can afford. Although the government provides some dental services, people do not have unlimited and equal access to the service. Because dentistry is a private consumption good, it follows the economic laws of supply and demand.

ECONOMIC CHOICES

Economists believe that all economic resources are limited. That is to say that everything people use to produce or purchase the economic goods and services that they desire is limited or scarce. Because these resources are limited, people must choose between alternatives that provide satisfaction. The choice not taken is lost and therefore sacrificed. This sacrifice is called an “opportunity cost.” For example, a family may have a given income. They want to purchase both a new car and a larger home. Because of their income limitations, they cannot purchase both goods (the car and the home). Instead, they must decide between the two. If they choose to buy the car, they lose the enjoyment of the new home (an opportunity cost). However, if they decide to make a down payment on a new home, they forgo the satisfaction of the car.

The notion of economic choice applies to both producers and consumers. Different people weigh the values of goods and services differently, and therefore the opportunity cost of forgoing those goods. A consumer with limited resources may need to decide between a vacation and extensive dental work, and the opportunity cost associated with forgoing each option will help to decide. As a producer, a dentist must decide the value of economic goods such as leisure and recreational time. Although a person may have the opportunity to make additional income by working longer hours, they will weigh the opportunity costs associated with forgoing time for personal and family enjoyment.

THE MICROECONOMICS OF DENTAL SERVICES

Since dentistry is a private consumption good, it should react to the marketplace’s forces of supply and demand like any other consumer good. Moreover, that is what happens, and these macro forces occur through an aggregation of individual micro choices. When thinking about the overall demand for services, more (but not all) dental patients respond as the macro theory predicts.

Demand for Dental Services

Demand for dental services follows the classic downwardsloping demand curve. However, many social factors affect the shape of the demand curve, and these are called the determinants of demand.

Price

Price is, by definition, one primary determinant of demand. Equally crucial to the actual price is the apparent price for the consumer. Third‐party plans, in effect, reduce the apparent price to the consumer by 50, 80, or even 100%. If a patient’s insurance pays 50%, the procedure, which costs $300, only costs $150. Consumers will buy many more services at this lower price. Someone’s higher income lowers the opportunity costs because they will not have to forgo as many purchases as a trade‐off for dental services. The person with the higher income then buys more dental services because their out‐of‐pocket expense appears smaller. On the other hand, physicians’ services are not nearly as sensitive to family income, and lower‐income families use physician services more than their wealthy cohorts.

Non‐price Considerations

Many non‐price considerations affect demand for dental services. An individual’s tastes, wants, needs, and desires play a role in the individual’s demands. Society generates tastes and wants as trends, fads, and fashions. To the extent that these trends affect the core of the business of dentistry or alternative forms of discretionary spending, they will affect the demand for dental services. If, for example, society values preventive health behaviors or esthetics more highly over time, then logically, the demand for related dental services would be expected to increase. The great demand for tooth whitening and other cosmetic services indicates this increase. Consumers also place a value on attributes of the product or service other than the face attributes. These extended features, such as guarantees, convenience, or availability, can also increase demand. If a practitioner stays open for extended hours, this convenience may generate additional demand for their services.

Availability of Substitutes

If lower‐priced substitutes exist, consumers will migrate to those substitutes as the price of the good increases. Tea is a good substitute for coffee. As the price of coffee increases, more consumers drink tea. When the price of coffee declines, those tea drinkers migrate back to their original drink of coffee. People with diabetes have a more difficult time finding substitutes for insulin. Their dependence makes the demand for insulin almost perfectly inelastic. If the price of insulin increases, they will pay for it because there are no reasonable substitutes. There are no legal substitutes for dentistry. The only people who can legally “sell” dental services are dentists. However, to the extent that dentists compete with each other, other dentists act as substitutes. Dentists who can differentiate themselves from other dentists in the area have few substitutes. Their patients are more reluctant to leave to find substitutes if prices rise. This loyalty may be generated by specialty work or by the interpersonal skill and behaviors of the dentist and their staff members.

General Economic Prosperity

Primary industries are those that bring money into a region. This is generally in wages paid for workers or natural resources used. Examples include manufacturing plants, mining and forestry, agriculture, and tourism. Secondary industries, such as computer support and subassembly plants, support the primary people who work in those industries. Tertiary industries provide services for workers in higher‐level industries. Grocery stores and dental offices are examples. General economic prosperity affects personal incomes. Personal income, in turn, affects the individual’s demand for discretionary services, such as dentistry. If the economy is robust, workers have more money as producers compete for workers, bidding up the price. The workers, in turn, spend their wages at automobile dealerships and shoe stores. Automobile dealers and shoe salespersons have higher incomes and buy more discretionary services, such as dentistry. A dollar often flows through the economy as workers purchase goods and services from neighboring businesses.

Demographics of the Demand for Dental Care

Several factors point toward long‐term growth in demand for dental services. The increasing educational level of the population and increasing disposable income, caused partly by the increase in two‐wage‐earner families, leads to higher demand. An increase in third‐party dental coverage leads to a lower apparent cost for the service and higher demand. The public has an increased awareness of dental health caused partly by professional efforts and partly by advertising messages for dental care products such as toothpaste. The overall health consciousness of the population is increasing, as evidenced by fitness centers, dietary changes, and a decrease in alcohol consumption. There is an increase in the senior segment of the population who have higher disposable incomes and more teeth at risk for a longer time. Prime users are young adults with above‐average incomes living in suburban metropolitan areas. Usage patterns have begun to merge over various demographic groups (e.g. age, sex, income, and census tracts).

Supply of Dental Services

The supply of dental services follows the classic upward‐ sloping supply curve. However, like the demand side, many social factors affect how the supply curve acts, which are called the determinants of supply.

The Number of Producers Is Limited

The dental profession holds a monopoly in the dental care market, including steep barriers to entry (e.g. educational requirements, licensure). The cost of starting dental schools and the pressure from the profession work to hold the number of new practitioners stable in the future. New dental schools and increasing enrollment of existing schools work to increase the number of practitioners. Given an aging population of practitioners, no one is sure what to expect regarding the supply of dental services in the future.

The Productivity of Producers Varies

The productivity of individual producers varies tremendously depending on the dentist’s age, educational currency, business interests and skills, personal tastes and desires, use of auxiliary personnel, and use of new technology. There is presently a small excess capacity in the system, which is more pronounced in some areas. Many experts expect the excess capacity to decrease over the next several years as more practitioners retire or decrease practice size.

Technological Improvements

Changing technologies are increasing how much dentistry can be produced. They are also increasing the number and types of services provided. Changing the types of services provided increases the demand for those services. Changing technology affects the materials that dentists use, making more materials available and also materials that are easier and faster to use, leading to more services being provided. Technological improvements also allow the office to process the paperwork associated with treatment more quickly and efficiently. Computerized, electronic claim processing, for example, frees up receptionist time.

Regulations

Regulatory bodies can significantly affect the supply of dental services. Licensing of independent paraprofessionals (such as denturists and hygienists), state regulations regarding delegation of intraoral duties, foreign‐trained dentists, and corporate ownership of practices all affect the aggregate supply of dental services. Significant regulatory pressures exist to maintain the existing supply patterns of dentists. Although the government will not pay to increase the number of dental schools, entrepreneurs see a market for developing private dental schools. However, there may be pressure from practitioners and the public to change the laws regarding the delegation of duties, allowing dentists to leverage their time, energy, and knowledge more efficiently.

Demographics of Supply for Dental Services

Most dental practitioners in the United States are individual general dentists. The supply of new practitioners is stable and under the general influence of dental practitioners through various accrediting and licensing bodies. The population of dentists is aging, with a large group in the 45–60‐year‐old cadre. As dentists age, their productivity decreases significantly, and they often continue to practice part‐time or reduce their hours as they enter retirement.

ECONOMIC CHARACTERISTICS OF THE DENTAL CARE MARKET

Given the previous discussion, the following can be said regarding the dental care marketplace in the United States.

  • The purchase of dental care follows traditional supplyand‐demand economics, and dentistry is a private consumption good.
  • Not all consumers purchase dental services for the same reasons, at the same prices, or with the same convictions.
  • The supply of practitioners does not change abruptly but instead ebbs and flows as conditions change. Significant barriers to entry exist for dentistry, and no one expects this to change significantly soon. The supply of dental practitioners is relatively steady, and demand fluctuates more quickly.
  • Demand for dental services is tied closely to disposable income. As such, it varies with general economic conditions, third‐party coverage, and alternate forms of spending. Presently, demographic factors indicate increasing demand for dental services across all population groups.
  • Increasing demand for services with relatively tight constraints on the supply of services leads to higher service prices and higher income for providers. Recent trends show dental incomes to be steadily rising, both on a current dollar and an inflation‐adjusted basis.

MACROECONOMICS: THE BIG PICTURE

Macroeconomics looks at the economy in total. It is not concerned with how the individual consumer, firm, or business acts, except as it contributes to the whole. Individual differences may exist (companies may grow during an economic slowdown). Regional, local, sector, or specific products may not follow the overall national trend. Economic effects ripple through the economy. If a business slows production, its suppliers and the suppliers’ suppliers (and all of their employees) also feel the slowdown. So, all parts of an economy are interconnected and interdependent. Dentists depend on a stable economy to give consumers spendable income and employee benefits to help pay for dentists’ services. What follows is a primer on macroeconomics and how economic changes affect dental practices.

GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT

Gross domestic product (GDP) is a measure of general economic prosperity for a country for a given period. It is the sum of the market value of all goods and services produced. When GDP is increasing, the economy is growing. People then produce more goods and services, and more have jobs and can afford to purchase those goods and services. Money ripples through the economy as it passes from hand to hand. General economic prosperity is increasing.

Conversely, when GDP is decreasing, the production of goods and services slows. Unemployment increases and paychecks lower as businesses lay off workers to keep costs in line with lower production. This general economic slowdown spreads through the economy as fewer people have extra money to spend on goods and services.

Composition of GDP

GDP is composed of four large categories. Consumption by individuals is the most significant single component of GDP, accounting for approximately 68% of the US economy. The confidence consumers have is a primary driver of consumption in the economy. If they believe their jobs are secure and economic prosperity will continue, they buy more goods and services, often borrowing money to finance their purchases. The consumer confidence index (CCI) measures these consumers’ attitudes. It is often used as a leading indicator of consumer purchases. Investment in inventory, plant, and equipment (and houses) is the secondlargest component of GDP at 18%. When businesses purchase equipment for their factories (or dental practices), they do not consume that equipment. However, they expect it to contribute to the firm’s productive capacity for many years. Businesses buy business assets in anticipation that they will need additional products to sell; that is when they believe the economy will improve (or remain strong). When GDP is decreasing, businesses do not invest in new plants and equipment, exacerbating the decline until they believe the economy is ready to improve. Houses are long‐term assets that individuals purchase, similar to businesses’ equipment and plant purchases. At the federal, state, and local levels, government spending is the third component of GDP, at 18%, which is approximately the same as the investment category. Government spending comes from the taxes that it collects. The federal government may also borrow money to spend more than it brings in through taxes. (This is known as deficit spending.) State and local governments cannot issue money, so by law most must operate in a balanced budget mode, spending only what they bring in. The final component of GDP is net exports. This is the difference between total exports (all goods and services sold to or in foreign countries) less all imports (foreign goods and services sold in the United States). If the nation imports more goods and services, net exports are negative, decreasing GDP. If the nation exports more than it imports, then the difference raises the GDP of the country (Box 12.1).

Nov 9, 2024 | Posted by in General Dentistry | Comments Off on 12: Basic Economics

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